UFC Austin gambling preview: Will Joe Lauzon go out on a high note against Donald Cerrone?

The UFC continues their 12-week summer time tour with UFC Austin, headlined by a featherweight contest between Calvin Kattar and Josh Emmett. The co-main occasion encompasses a re-booked legends struggle between Donald Cerrone and Joe Lauzon and there are 12 different fights on the cardboard, with copious betting alternatives, so let’s get to it.

As at all times, all odds are courtesy of our associates at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Photograph by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC through Getty Photos

Straight Bets

Joe Lauzon +145

I mentioned this at UFC 274 and it’s nonetheless relevant right here as the chances have barely modified: Joe Lauson is a really quick starter, with 18 of his 28 profession victories coming within the first spherical, and Donald Cerrone is sluggish starter, with seven of his 16 profession losses coming within the first spherical. It is a struggle between two guys who’re effectively past their primes, however Lauzon definitely seemed higher than Cerrone did the final outing. Cerrone was the higher fighter throughout their peaks, however merely put, Lauzon is healthier proper now.

Gregory Rodrigues, -170

Rodrigues is a little bit of a wild card. A former BJJ world champion, Rodrigues is good on the bottom, however in his UFC fights, as usually as not he’s been content material to face and brawl with opponents. Whereas that plan has largely labored out for him, Rodrigues could be higher served to pursue takedowns in opposition to Julian Marquez and I believe he’ll, partly as a result of Marquez shouldn’t be an amazing defensive wrestler. And as soon as he will get the struggle on the ground, it must be one-way site visitors for “Robocop.”

Photograph by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Prop Bets

Gregory Rodrigues by Submission, +400

I’m barely astonished at this line as a result of I believe it’s the most definitely consequence for this struggle. Julian Marquez is an effective fighter however, as talked about, he’s not an amazing wrestler and he’s nowhere close to Rodrigues on the mat. If Rodrigues performs to his strengths, there’s a excessive chance of him tapping out Marquez.

Adrian Yanez by KO/TKO, +130

Yanez is a massively proficient prospect with a few of the finest boxing within the UFC. In his 4 fights within the octagon to this point, he’s scored three Efficiency of the Night time bonuses for KOs, after which had Combat of the Night time with the impossibly robust Davey Grant. Kelley shouldn’t be a nasty fighter however he’s lengthy within the tooth (35 years previous) and doesn’t have the abilities to essentially stand as much as Yanez. Add in Yanez’s extra motivation and I like his possibilities for a end.

Photograph by David Becker/Getty Photos

Parlay(s) of the Week

Kevin Holland -275

Tim Means is a troublesome out for anybody however he depends closely on his size for his finest offense, and Holland can match him there and is quicker and extra highly effective. Add in that Holland is the superior grappler and this all provides as much as a clear victory for the rising welterweight.

Adrian Yanez, -320

See above.

Cody Stamann, -550

God love Eddie Wineland however his days as a high bantamweight are over. He’s misplaced 4 of his final 5 fights and now he faces a tank of a 135er with highly effective wrestling and serviceable standup. This struggle is designed to provide Stamann a win and that’s precisely what’s going to occur right here.

Parlay these three bets collectively for +111 odds.

Gloria de Paula, -265

De Paula has had a troublesome run within the UFC however she has been steadily enhancing time in and outing and it appears to be like like the corporate determined to throw her a bone. Maria Oliveira is aware of the best way to struggle and has some scrap to her, however she’s stuff and uncomfortable, even when doing the issues she desires to do. De Paula is the superior athlete, the extra highly effective striker, and easily way more fluid. She ought to win handily.

Phil Hawes, -260

Poor Deron Winn. He’s the Jeff Monson of middleweight, besides that it’s considerably tougher to tug that form of factor off at middleweight as an alternative of heavyweight. Winn is an effective athlete and an amazing wrestler however Hawes has such huge bodily benefits right here, that it doesn’t matter. Hawes loses fights on the ft, and Winn isn’t going to beat him there.

Parlay these two bets collectively for -111 odds.

Photograph by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC

Lengthy Shot of the Week

Joe Lauzon to win by KO/TKO in Spherical 1, +1000

As talked about above, Lauzon is a quick starter and Cerrone is a sluggish one, and that’s the genesis of this wager. I’m anticipating issues to play out for each males based on the script and if that occurs, Lauzon will merely overwhelm “Cowboy” with strikes. It’s not the longest of lengthy photographs, however I believe it’s a very good wager.

Wrap Up

One other robust week, associates. I felt we had been on the best facet of many of the bets however Jiri’s miracle comeback meant we completed down once more. Alas, on to the following one. This week, the way in which the bets and odds labored out, there was a variety of juice so I rolled with two parlays as an alternative. Let’s attempt to money some tickets.

As at all times, be certain to take a look at No Bets Barred for extra playing content material in case you haven’t already. Good luck y’all, and gamble responsibly!

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