Racing Tips: Andrew Mount’s Thursday Picks – August 18th

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Main horse racing advisor Andrew Mount’s is a contributor to the Racing Submit, Racing Submit Weekender, Racing & Soccer Outlook and the GG.co.uk web site. Andrew makes use of stats and techniques to search out worth bets and shares his newest ideas beneath…

It’s day two of York’s Ebor Competition (Thursday, August 18th) the place Andrew has recognized 5 stats-based picks, some at big costs. Observe his ideas this week and all 12 months spherical on horse racing betting sites with the lowdown on his newest picks beneath:

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18+ BeGambleAware.org, T&Cs apply. New prospects solely. Should stake min quantity of £20 (odds 1.5 or higher) on any sporting occasion. Promotion accessible between 15/08/22 – 21/08/22. Max 4 x £10 and 4 x £5 Free Bets credited on qualifying guess settlement on chosen occasions. 1x declare per buyer. Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets don’t qualify. Every Manner bets, system bets and revenue enhance aren’t permitted for qualifying guess. Free bets are non-withdrawable & not returned with winnings. Free bets expire after 7 days of qualifying guess settlement.

YORK 1.50

GLEN LAUREL (system – Kevin Ryan, Lope De Vega)

Kevin Ryan have to be a giant fan of the sire Lope De Vega, having acquired a number of wins out of the likes of Mount Tahan, Flaming Spear, Ayutthaya, Weekender Offender and Roulston Scar over time. Merely backing all his Lope De Vega runners would have discovered 23 winners from 125 bets (18.4% strike-rate) for a revenue of £12.40. GLEN LAUREL contributed with a wide-margin debut success at Thirsk and might be forgiven her subsequent Ascot defeat as she did an excessive amount of too quickly and helped to set it up for the closers. This observe ought to go well with and he or she’s price a small each-way curiosity at 25-1+.

YORK 2.25

SHOULDVEBEENARING (system – Havana Gray, 5f-6f, turf)

Progeny of first-season sire Havana Gray have a 30 from 155 report when racing in turf sprints (19.4%) and backing them blind would have returned a revenue of £66.04 to a £1 degree stake at SP. SHOULDVEBEENARING is certainly one of three qualifiers on this invaluable gross sales race (the others are Metahorse and Havana By The Sea) and his coach, Richard Hannon, has gained 4 of the final six renewals. His low draw will likely be a bonus on Wednesday’s proof.

YORK 4.10

TIME LOCK (system – Frankel/Dubawi cross)

Progeny of Frankel who’ve Dubawi as their damsire have achieved extraordinarily effectively, touchdown 40 of their 136 begins (29.4%) for a revenue of £61.20 (anticipated winners solely 28.26). TIME LOCK was vastly spectacular at Newmarket in Might and will not have been suited by the tender circumstances when crushed at Haydock final time. She will bounce again to profitable methods this afternoon.

YORK 4.45

SUNNY ORANGE (system – Ralph Beckett, first-time blinkers)

For the reason that starting of 2016, coach Ralph Beckett is nineteen from 86 together with his first-time blinkered runners and backing them blind would have returned a revenue of £75.73. SUNNY ORANGE struggled on tender floor at Haydock final time and may bounce again within the headgear. He’s additionally been gelded since his final run.

YORK 5.20

TRUELY ACCLAIMED (system – turning tracks)

The constant TRUELY ACCLAIMED has but to win on a straight observe, recording kind figures of 022224 (0-6). Nonetheless, when racing on turning tracks over 7f-7.5f her report stands at 153211 (3-5), together with a big-field course and distance win earlier this season. She’s effectively drawn in stall 6 and an be supported each-way on this 7f fillies’ nursery.

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Over at on-line bookie BetUK, there’s a neat new buyer provide the place punters can enroll and get £60 in free bets after betting £20. Listed here are all the main points:

New prospects should stake a minimal quantity of £20 on any sporting occasion.
The minimal odds for a qualifying guess are 1.5 (1/2).
A most of 4 x £10 and 4 x £5 free bets credited when a qualifying guess on chosen occasions is settled.
Void, cashed out, partially cashed out bets don’t qualify.
Every Manner bets, system bets and revenue enhance aren’t permitted for qualifying guess.
Free bets expire after 7 days of the qualifying guess settling, are non-withdrawable and never returned with winnings.
This promotion is offered between 15/08/22 and 21/08/22. Additional phrases and circumstances apply.